Capstone Infrastructure Corporation Provides 2014 Outlook
TORONTO, ONTARIO (December 12, 2013) – Capstone Infrastructure Corporation (TSX: CSE; CSE.DB.A; CSE.PR.A; RDZ.DB – the “Corporation”) today provided its financial outlook for fiscal 2014 and an update on Bristol Water’s recent regulatory submission.
“Capstone’s diversified portfolio of core infrastructure businesses is performing in line with expectations. In addition, in 2013 we advanced our growth strategy, acquiring a complementary portfolio of wind power facilities and development projects that are expected to enhance Capstone’s cash flow as operations commence in 2014 to 2016,” said Michael Bernstein, President and Chief Executive Officer. “Over the past two years, we introduced lower risk and growing utilities to our portfolio, thereby improving the quality, stability and value of our company while strengthening our long-term cash flow profile. We have also successfully positioned our company, through the establishment of Capstone Power Development and acquisition of Renewable Energy Developers Inc., to access earlier stage power opportunities with the potential to deliver higher returns for shareholders. While Cardinal’s re-contracting has not yet been resolved, I am confident Capstone has strong fundamentals and a bright future.”
Outlook for 20141
The Corporation expects continuing stable performance from its portfolio of power generation and utilities businesses. Adjusted Earnings before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (“Adjusted EBITDA”) in 2014 is anticipated to be approximately $140 million to $150 million compared with the 2013 outlook of $120 million to $130 million. The assumptions underlying the Corporation’s 2014 outlook include but are not limited to:
• A full year of contribution from the operating wind power facilities acquired from Renewable Energy Developers Inc. (“ReD”) on October 1, 2013;
• That the Corporation’s internally generated cash and credit is deployed into its new development projects and that the projects proceed as expected;
• That the Swedish krona to Canadian dollar and British pound to Canadian dollar exchange rates remain consistent with recent rates;
• That Bristol Water plc implements its allowed real 3.8% (plus retail price index, or “RPI”) price increase effective April 1, 2014; and
• Business development activity that is consistent with historical levels.
Bristol Water Submits Proposed AMP6 Business Plan
The Corporation also provided an overview of the proposed five-year asset management plan (“AMP 6”) submitted on December 2, 2013 by Bristol Water to the Water Services Regulation Authority (“Ofwat”), which regulates the water and sewerage sectors in England and Wales. The Corporation holds a 50% interest in Bristol Water.
Highlights of Bristol Water’s proposed business plan for AMP 6, which commences on April 1, 2015 and concludes on March 31, 2020, include:
• A capital investment program totaling GBP 347 million (approximately CAD $585 million) to be funded by Bristol Water using internally generated cash flow and credit resources;
• Expected real regulated capital value (“RCV”) growth of approximately 30%;
• A forecast real weighted average cost of capital (vanilla) of 4.6%2;
• Anticipated total dividends for the five-year period paid by Bristol Water plc of approximately GBP 71 million (approximately CAD $120 million); and
• Average bills for customers that increase by less than inflation over the five-year period, reflecting Bristol Water’s commitment to delivering value for money.
“Bristol Water’s business plan, which was developed in consultation with its customers, delivers increased investment, improved services and bills that rise by less than inflation, thereby balancing value for customers and shareholders,” said Mr. Bernstein. “With its sustainable long-term cash flow and strong growth profile, we expect Bristol Water to be a significant driver of value for Capstone’s shareholders in the years ahead.”
Bristol Water’s proposed business plan is subject to change upon review by Ofwat, which will publish its final rate determinations at the end of 2014 with new prices taking effect on April 1, 2015.
About Capstone Infrastructure Corporation
Capstone’s mission is to build and responsibly manage a high quality portfolio of infrastructure businesses in Canada and internationally in order to deliver a superior total return to shareholders by providing reliable income and capital appreciation. Capstone’s portfolio comprises investments in Canada’s power infrastructure, including gas cogeneration, wind, hydro, biomass and solar power generating facilities, representing approximately net 439 megawatts3 of installed capacity, and contracted wind power development projects totaling an expected net 79 megawatts of capacity. Capstone also invests in utilities, including a 33.3% interest in a district heating business in Sweden, and a 50% interest in a regulated water utility in the United Kingdom. Please visit www.capstoneinfrastructure.com for more information.
1 – See Notice to Readers.
2 – Pre-tax cost of debt combined with post-tax cost of equity.
3 – Reflects Capstone’s economic interest in its various power facilities.
Notice to Readers
Certain of the statements contained within this document are forward-looking and reflect management's expectations regarding the future growth, results of operations, performance and business of the Corporation based on information currently available to the Corporation. Forward-looking statements and financial outlook are provided for the purpose of presenting information about management's current expectations and plans relating to the future and readers are cautioned that such statements may not be appropriate for other purposes. These statements and financial outlook use forward-looking words, such as “anticipate”, “continue”, “could”, “expect”, “may”, “will”, “estimate”, “plan”, “believe” or other similar words, and include, among other things, statements found in "Message to Shareholders" and “Results of Operations” concerning the guidance provided on the Corporation's post transaction profile. These statements and financial outlook are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements and financial outlook and, accordingly, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results. The forward-looking statements and financial outlook within this document are based on information currently available and what the Corporation currently believes are reasonable assumptions, including the material assumptions set out in the management's discussion and analysis of the results of operations and the financial condition of the Corporation (“MD&A”) for the year ended December 31, 2012 under the heading “Results of Operations”, as updated in subsequently filed MD&A of the Corporation (such documents are available under the Corporation's profile on www.sedar.com).
Other potential material factors or assumptions that were applied in formulating the forward-looking statements and financial outlook contained herein include or relate to the following: that the business and economic conditions affecting the Corporation's operations will continue substantially in their current state, including, with respect to industry conditions, general levels of economic activity, regulations, weather, taxes and interest rates; that the Corporation will deploy its internally generated cash and credit into its new development projects as expected and that there will be no material delays in the Corporation's power infrastructure development projects achieving commercial operation; that the Corporation's power infrastructure facilities will experience normal wind, hydrological and solar irradiation conditions, and ambient temperature and humidity levels; an effective TransCanada pipeline ("TCPL") gas transportation toll of approximately $1.65 per gigajoule in 2014 that there will be no material change in the level of gas mitigation revenue historically earned by the Cardinal facility; that there will be no material changes to the Corporation's facilities, equipment or contractual arrangements, no material changes in the legislative, regulatory and operating framework for the Corporation's businesses, no material delays in obtaining required approvals and no material changes in rate orders or rate structures for the Corporation's power infrastructure facilities, Värmevärden or Bristol Water, no material changes in environmental regulations for power infrastructure facilities, Värmevärden or Bristol Water and no significant event occurring outside the ordinary course of business; that the amendments to the regulations governing the mechanism for calculating the Global Adjustment (which affects the calculation of the direct customer rate ("DCR") escalator under the power purchase agreement ("PPA") for the Cardinal facility and price escalators under the PPAs for the hydro power facilities located in Ontario) will continue in force; that there will be no material change to the accounting treatment for Bristol Water's business under International Financial Reporting Standards, particularly with respect to accounting for maintenance capital expenditures; that there will be no material change to the amount and timing of capital expenditures by Bristol Water; that there will be no material changes to the Swedish krona to Canadian dollar and British pound to Canadian dollar exchange rates; and that Bristol Water will operate and perform in a manner consistent with the regulatory assumptions underlying asset management plan 5 ("AMP5"), including, among others: real and inflationary increases in Bristol Water's revenue, Bristol Water's expenses increasing in line with inflation, and capital investment, leakage, customer service standards and asset serviceability targets being achieved.
Although the Corporation believes that it has a reasonable basis for the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements and financial outlook, actual results may differ from those suggested by the forward-looking statements and financial outlook for various reasons, including: risks related to the Corporation's securities (dividends on common shares and preferred shares are not guaranteed; volatile market price for the Corporation's securities; shareholder dilution; and convertible debentures credit risk, subordination and absence of covenant protection); risks related to the Corporation and its businesses (availability of debt and equity financing; default under credit agreements and debt instruments; geographic concentration; foreign currency exchange rates; acquisitions and development (including risks related to the integration of the business operated by Renewable Energy Developers Inc.); environmental, health and safety; changes in legislation and administrative policy; and reliance on key personnel); risks related to the Corporation's power infrastructure facilities (power purchase agreements; operational performance; fuel costs and supply; contract performance; land tenure and related rights; environmental; and regulatory environment); risks related to Bristol Water (Ofwat price determinations; failure to deliver capital investment programs; economic conditions; operational performance; failure to deliver water leakage target; service incentive mechanism ("SIM") and the serviceability assessment; pension plan obligations; regulatory environment; competition; seasonality and climate change; and labour relations); and risks related to Värmevärden (operational performance; fuel costs and availability; industrial and residential contracts; environmental; regulatory environment; and labour relations). For a comprehensive description of these risk factors, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Corporation’s Annual Information Form dated March 21, 2013 as supplemented by risk factors contained in any material change reports (except confidential material change reports), business acquisition reports, interim financial statements, interim management’s discussion and analysis and information circulars filed by the Corporation with securities commissions or similar authorities in Canada, which are available on the SEDAR website at www.sedar.com
The assumptions, risks and uncertainties described above are not exhaustive and other events and risk factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results and events discussed in the forward-looking statements and financial outlook. The forward-looking statements and financial outlook within this document reflect current expectations of the Corporation as at the date of this document and speak only as at the date of this document. Except as may be required by applicable law, the Corporation does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements and financial outlook.
This document is not an offer or invitation for the subscription or purchase of or a recommendation of securities. It does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any investor. Before making an investment in the Corporation, an investor or prospective investor should consider whether such an investment is appropriate to their particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances and consult an investment adviser if necessary.
For further information, please contact:
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Tel: (416) 649-1331